Service Plays Wednesday 9/1/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

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I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




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Some handicappers do not mind having their plays posted, If we are asked by any company to not let their information be posted here, we will comply with the request and remove the information if we see it.
For The Record.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
To all services and professional handicappers. I am only going to be editing posts where your copyrighted write-ups are involved. Please do not email me if someone simply posts so and so likes xyz team plus or minus so many points only.
Thank you, wilheim.......

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****Please note we can post ONLY Picks for the services above - NO WRITE - UPS. All other services not on this list can be posted in any fashion. GL!​

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Streaking and Slumping Pitchers

Streaking

Roy Oswalt (9-13, 3.12 ERA) Philadelphia

Oswalt has been everything the Philadelphia Phillies hoped he would be when they swung a deal with the Houston Astros to land the veteran right-hander last month. He is 3-1 over six starts with his new club, allowing only 10 earned runs over that stretch.

He went eight innings allowing a single run in taking a no-decision against the San Diego Padres the last time he took the hill. Oswalt has also struck out at least five batters in five of his six starts with the Phillies.


Slumping

A.J. Burnett (9-12, 5.17 ERA) New York Yankees

Burnett has always been a hard guy to figure out. Some days he takes the mound and is untouchable and others he looks like he should be playing Double-A ball – at best. Right now it’s more the latter than the former.

Burnett is 0-4 in his last five starts and is coming off one of his worst outings of the season. He allowed eight earned runs over 3 1/3 innings in a 9-4 loss at the Chicago White Sox.

"It's Groundhog Day again," Burnett told reporters recently. "When you take your team out of it in the first two or three innings, it wears on these guys. It's got to be frustrating not knowing what you're going to get every five days."

Tim Lincecum (11-9, 3.80 ERA) San Francisco

The San Francisco Giants can forget about the postseason unless Tim Lincecum snaps out of it in a hurry. The club’s ace lost all six of his starts in August, allowing at least four runs in all but one of those appearances to end off the month with a fat 7.82 ERA.

"I'm pretty ready for (September)," Lincecum told reporters. "This has been one of those things you have to take with a punch and just roll with it. It's not fun to go through. You have to fight through it. The last thing I want to do is give up or give in to what's going on now."

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

Philadelphia at Los Angeles Dodgers (-110, 6.5)

Two of the hottest pitchers in the bigs square off Wednesday and oddsmakers have reacted with a 6.5-run total. Lefty Clayton Kershaw goes for the Dodgers against Philadelphia’s Roy Oswalt.

Los Angeles has won two of Kershaw’s last three outings with the young lefty sporting a 1.80 ERA over that span. Kershaw took the no-decision the last time he took the hill, giving up a solo home run over six innings pitched while striking out six.

Meanwhile, the Phillies have won five of Roy Oswalt’s six starts since he came over from the Houston Astros. The veteran right-hander has allowed just one run over his last 15 innings pitched and has 155 strikeouts and only 43 walks this year.

The starters look ready to go, but both of these offenses can erupt quickly. We’re expecting at least a few crooked numbers on the board.

Pick: Over


Colorado at San Francisco (-120, 6.5)

September couldn’t come soon enough for San Francisco starter Tim Lincecum. The two-time NL Cy Young winner lost all six of his starts last month, sporting a 7.82 ERA. He has allowed at least four earned runs in each of his last four starts.

Colorado had won six of its last seven heading into Tuesday’s action and will have their ace Ubaldo Jimenez on the mound against the Giants. Jimenez hasn’t won in four starts, but didn’t allow more than three runs in any of those outings either. The 6-foot-4 right-hander has already beaten San Francisco twice this year.

Pick: Rockies

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Capping the calendar: September's best and worst pitchers

Like our waistlines after a finger-licking Labor Day barbecue, MLB rosters have expanded to accommodate the final month of the season.

And as college football and the NFL barge onto the scene, MLB pitchers take the final spotlight in hopes of leading their teams on to the playoff trail. Which ones can we count on and which ones figure to belly up? Check it out.

Listed below are hurlers that have enjoyed a two-to-one or better success ratio in team starts the last three seasons during the month of September. On the flip side, we’ve also listed pitchers that struggle in September team starts, winning 33 percent or less of their efforts.

To qualify pitchers must have made a minimum of 10 starts, with at least one start each September over the last three years.

September’s best pitchers

Joe Blanton, 10-5

It’s not so much that Blanton is incredibly effective in the last month of the season. Instead, it is more of a function of the right hander keeping his team in the game, especially with Philadelphia finding a way to win in the late innings. To his credit Blanton has lowered ERA 1.25 in last 10 starts.

Kevin Correia, 8-3

The San Diego hurler has been among the better pitchers in the National League since the All-Star break. Mostly a journeyman in his career, when his pitching coach or the catcher see his slumping shoulders they get on him to stand taller, which increases his velocity and movement on his pitches, making Correia more effective.

Zack Greinke, 10-5

He’s not as dominate this season, lacking the late movement on fastball which led to more strikeouts. Last year’s AL Cy Young winner could still create havoc, with Kansas City having 14 games against playoff contenders this month, putting Greinke and Royals to be in spoiler role.

Josh Johnson, 7-3

The 6-foot-7 righty is closing in on career high in innings pitched and still could tie or better previous season win total (15) and exceed high marks in ERA and WHIP with a typical strong finish.

Jair Jurrjens, 10-3

This sturdily built right hander has been pitching better month by month since coming off the DL in late June. If he throws like usual this September, Atlanta could hold off Philadelphia and win the division.

Jon Lester, 12-3

The talented left hander has been a big-game pitcher late in the season and in the playoffs and is one of the best home-field hurlers in baseball and will look to extend his dominance yet again.

Ted Lilly, 11-5

This is Lilly’s sixth stop in his career and he is making a case for hanging around L.A. with how well he’s pitched in Dodgers uniform. He’s on pace to have career lows in batting average allowed and WHIP, with the former occurring in 2002, ironically the last time he was traded in-season.

Vicente Padilla, 9-3

Most baseball fans and sports bettors, for that matter, wouldn’t list Padilla as a clutch pitcher. Yet, late in the season, this Nicaraguan continues to come up big.

Wandy Rodriguez, 8-4

For a solid portion of last year, Rodriquez was arguably the best LH chucker in the National League. After a very slow start to 2010, Rodriguez has scouts talking again about his command and is averaging over a strikeout per inning in his past 10 starts. Houston might be going nowhere, but Wandy’s stock is rising again.

C.C. Sabathia, 14-2

Try this: Google “late season clutch MLB pitchers” and guaranteed Sabathia’s name will be at the top of the first page. Off being the first pitcher in 41 years to win five or more games in August three years in a row, the left hander wants the ball in the big games and is on track for best year of a very solid career.

Joe Saunders, 10-5

We’re not certain if this lefty will be able to match previous numbers pitching for Arizona, but has a bulldog mentality in the clutch.


September’s worst pitchers

Matt Cain, 5-10

San Francisco is losing ground to San Diego and in the wildcard chase and can’t afford another mediocre month from Cain when it matters most.

Zach Duke, 3-8

He’s a near fixture on this list month after month. If Duke were right handed, he would be in the minor leagues since opposing teams have hit over .300 against him in his career.

Matt Garza, 5-10

It’s strictly a matter of maintaining focus and not letting emotions overcome him. Garza has the ability to be a big winner. Fastball command will leave him, forcing Garza to steer pitches to correct accuracy while his heater straightens out, making him more hittable.

Tim Lincecum, 4-9

It’s not like the two-time Cy Young winner is having a season like Tiger Woods, but with slight build and losing MPH on fastball this year, Lincecum is not noted finisher late in the year. There are questions abound about his long term future.

Paul Maholm, 3-7

Maholm is another Pirates’ lefty that would be lucky to break glass with his fastball. What makes Maholm better than Duke is his plus changeup that he can work in or out on right-hand hitters. Nevertheless, he has to be near perfect most of the time and pitching for Pittsburgh further narrows that margin of error.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bettors’ best friend: Wednesday’s wagering tips

Lines to keep an eye on

Philadelphia at Los Angeles Dodgers – L.A. opened as a -115 favorite but has dropped to -110.
Oakland at New York Yankees – New York opened at -150 and is now listed at -145.
New York Mets at Atlanta – Atlanta opened at -175 but is now at -170.

Weather to watch

St. Louis at Houston- chance of showers or thundershowers.
Pittsburgh at Chicago – chance of scattered thunderstorms.
Texas at Kansas City – 60 percent chance of scattered thunderstorms.

Who’s hot

Philadelphia is 25-12 in its last 37 games.
New York is 84-32 in last 116 home games.
New York Liberty (WNBA) is 6-2 ATS in last eight home games.

Who’s not

Cleveland is 6-15 in last 21 games.
Pittsburgh has lost 14 straight road games.
Houston is 7-2 in last nine games.

Key stat

8 – number of wins the Pittsburgh Pirates have in their last 52 road games this year.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Josh Hamliton’s wonky right knee. Hamilton had his second cortisone shot of the season in his right knee at the beginning of August, but it didn’t help much. He was in the lineup as Texas’ DH Monday and Tuesday. Hamilton is scheduled to have a lubrication injection after Tuesday’s game.

Game of the day

Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Dodgers

Notable quotable

“I’ve done countless exams and talked to doctors. It’s not the (ulnar) ligament, it’s not the Tommy John thing. We’re just trying to figure out what we can do to get the swelling out where you can bend your arm.”

“This is how I’ve always been as far as my body. I figure no matter what it is, I can just deal with it and pitch through it.”
-Atlanta Braves starter Derek Lowe on the elbow discomfort he has experienced for the last six weeks. Lowe, who took a cortisone shot on Sunday, is 2-4 over his last nine starts.

Tips and notes

Manny Ramirez expected to start Wednesday. The Chicago White Sox have their new slugger in uniform, but are expected to wait until Wednesday’s games against the Cleveland Indians.

Aroldis Chapman’s is in Cincinnati and available if he’s needed out of the bullpen. The 22-year-old signed a huge contract worth more of $30 million after defecting from Cuba 13 months ago. He brings a 105-mph fastball to Cincinnati’s bullpen.

A-Rod eying Sunday return. Alex Rodriguez has started swinging again in the batting cage and should be ready to return to the lineup when he’s eligible to come off the DL on Sunday.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA DUNKEL

Indiana at New York
The Liberty look to clinch the series and build on their 6-2 ATS record in their last 8 home games. New York is the pick (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Liberty favored by 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: New York (-3 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 1

Game 623-624: Indiana at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 114.976; New York 119.693
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 4 1/2; 144
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 3 1/2; 147
Dunkel Pick: New York (-3 1/2); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Lady Luck: Today's WNBA best bets

Indiana at New York (-3.5, 147)

The New York Liberty missed an opportunity to finish off the Indiana Fever on Sunday, dropping a 75-67 decision as a 4.5-point underdog. The good news for Liberty backers is that the club hasn’t lost two games in a row since the beginning of July and finished the year winning 12 of their last 13 games.

New York just couldn’t get the offense going on Sunday. The Liberty stumbled out of the gate and were down 21-8 by the end of the first quarter. They ended up shooting 36.8 percent from the floor and 33.3 percent from downtown.

Indiana got back to its bread and butter to snap a four-game losing skid – defense. The Fever owned the league’s third-best scoring defense in the regular season allowing 74.1 points per game.

Pick: Liberty

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Craig Masters

Giants +110

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPORTGENIUS

1 UNIT Pittsburgh Pirates +170
1 UNIT Cleveland Indians +135

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

INDIAN COWBOY
WNBA

4-Unit Play. Take #624. Take New York Liberty -3.5 over Indiana Fever (Wednesday @ 7:30pm est).

At the end of the day, you just try to take the better team and call it a day. The Liberty are still the hottest team in the league according to their stats over the last half of the season in many ways. They are a very good defensive team and they play at home after getting pummeled on the road by Indiana. But, this was expected in some ways I guess because New York had beat Indiana in the first game, and owned them the last several games of the year in their season meetings. New York is very well coached and has great leadership in Cappie Poindexter. The spread is not that high simply because of their lack of performance in the last game and bear in mind this team is 14-4 at home and have won 8 of their last 10 ballgames including the loss in their last game to Indiana. Indiana is a good team no doubt, but I think New York is certainly on course for a special season, and I can see them winning this game by 8-10 points in a decent bounce-back after a recent tough road loss.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

LPW SPORTS FORECAST

WNBA

CONFIDENTIAL ACCESS
50 UNIT Indiana Fever +4 over New York Liberty

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

GAMEDAYGURU

2* Pittsburgh Pirates +170

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Chad Greene

Boston Red Sox/Baltimore Orioles UNDER 8

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA FOX SHEETS


Favoring: NEW YORK on the money line.
Play On - Home favorites vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - revenging a loss versus opponent, off a road loss against a division rival
(101-20 over the last 5 seasons.) (83.5%,
The situation's record this season is: (7-2 +

Favoring: NEW YORK on the money line.
Play On - Home favorites vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - revenging a loss versus opponent, off a loss against a division rival
(137-30 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.0%,
The situation's record this season is: (10-4 +

Favoring: NEW YORK on the money line.
Play On - Home favorites vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - revenging a same season loss versus opponent, off a road loss
(112-26 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.2%,
The situation's record this season is: (9-3

Favoring: NEW YORK on the money line.
Play On - Home favorites vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - revenging a same season loss versus opponent, off a road loss against a division rival
(81-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (84.4%,
The situation's record this season is: (7-2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

PittViper Sports
Wednesday September 1st, 2010
*Lines are Listed Pitchers as of 2:50am EST at 5 dimes.*


*I also leaned to Boston Red Sox -1.5*

Colorado Rockies (U Jimenez) at San Francisco Giants (T Lincecum) (9:15pm)
ROT# 915 - Colorado Rockies -115

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Baseball Crusher

Florida Marlins (-145) over the Washington Nationals
W-L IP H ERA
Nats Pitcher: Scott Olsen (L) 3-7 73.1 82 4.91
Marlins Pitcher: Christopher Volstad (R) 8-9 138.2 144 4.61

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Outlaw Sports Advisors

1000* Angels +105

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

The Metamucils ended up with an "L" last night thanks to Castillo's "E," which also proved to be NG for Hondo as his debt mushroomed to 1,900 mclains.

Tonight, Mr. Aitch is a 'dog lover who hopes he's barking up the right trees with Marcum, Scherzer and Roy Harvey Oswalt -- 10 units apiece on the Blue Jays, Tigers and Phillies.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gamblers Data

WEDNESDAY
Rockies/Giants Over 6.5

 

[motor87]

axiumsports

September 1st 2010

*-Weekly System Picks. Please follow the system and do not increase your starting bet until you at least triple your account. -*

Current Bankroll=$1,195.35

Pick #7-England Johnstones Paint Trophy Soccer-
7)Bet 15.42 to win 14.15 on Brighton & Hove Albion/Leyton Orient UNDER 2.5 -109

Pick #8-MLB-
8a)Bet 15.60 to win 14.86 on San Diego/Arizona OVER 8 -105

8b)Bet 32.38 to win 30.84 on San Diego/Arizona OVER 8 -105

Pick #9-MLB-
9aa)Bet 15.79 to win 15.33 on LAA Angels/Seattle OVER 7.5 -103
9ab)Bet 32.76 to win 31.81 on LAA Angels/Seattle OVER 7.5 -103

9ba)Bet 15.62 to win 15.16 on LAA Angels/Seattle OVER 7.5 -103
9bb)Bet 68.00 to win 66.02 on LAA Angels/Seattle OVER 7.5 -103